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September 17, 2007
By Julie Ickes and James Finch

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Spot Uranium Price holds steady for second week

The Spot Uranium Market Remains Relatively Quiet

Courtesy of Nuclear Market Review. The recent drop in the spot price may be explained partly by the recent decrease in demand for U3O8 in the spot market, while the supply of U3O8 increased. Changes in the weekly spot price can be found at www.uranium.info

TradeTech’s Nuclear Market Review (NMR) for this past week reported no change in its Uranium Spot Price Indicator, holding it steady at $85.00 per pound U3O8. This marks the second week of a stagnant spot price after a series of price decreases.

NMR editor Treva Klingbiel reported, "While no transactions are reported and most buyers remain reluctant to commit to purchases, a few are expressing interest as the price declines of the past few months begin to wane."

Mestena Uranium is once again holding an auction for its uranium production with bids due this last Tuesday, September 11 for up to 300,000 pounds of U3O8.

There were no transactions recorded in the long-term uranium market. However, several utilities are in the process of evaluating offers or have expressed interest in securing uranium supply in the long-term market. Klingbiel explained, "A total of nine utilities are actively seeking approximately 23 million pounds U3O8 equivalent for delivery between 2007 and 2017."

Investors Await Fed's Decision

Chart courtesy of www.theinvestar.com which tracks both Canadian and Australian stocks. In the Canadian chart, 43 uranium companies – each with more than C$40 million in market capitalization comprise this weekly index. The Australian Index tracks 25 companies, which own uranium assets.

Uranium industry stocks have experienced a slight rebound in the past week, as shown above by TheInvestar's Canadian Index. The steady spot price combined with generally less panic in the financial markets provided a more favorable climate. But will the recent lowered volatility of the markets continue?

Matthew Smith of TheInvestar Group reported, “It appears that investors are beginning to shrug off the mortgage and subprime worries that have plagued the market recently. This has pushed up all stocks as investors seem to be counting on Bernanke to lower rates by at least 25 basis points. Both Australia and Canada are moving up, and their currencies are also moving higher versus the dollar. First this indicates many think the Fed will lower, which is good for those buying but also it is another reason to invest in the stocks as they now become somewhat of a derivate to play the currency...even if you are buying in the US, so long as the stock also has a listing overseas.”

In an effort to evaluate and potentially alleviate the US economy's current struggles, the Federal Reserve Board meets this week to discuss a possible interest rate decrease. Though not guaranteed, a rate decrease is expected to be announced on Tuesday. Questions remain on just how much the rate would be cut.

What is Smith’s take on the Fed's interest rate control? “If Bernanke lowers it will mean good things ahead for uranium investors, but if he tries to teach speculators a lesson then it could be a long winter.”


Finally, the new update to StockInterview’s “Investing in the Great Uranium Bull Market.” The completely updated CD-ROM version offers uranium price guidance for 2007-2008 and a special ‘How to Choose Uranium Stocks in 2007.’ Also included are outlooks for production and potential future problems at several major uranium mines; the outlook for Australia, Russia, Kazakhstan, the United States, Africa and elsewhere. We also included a safe haven basket of uranium companies. How high do we expect spot uranium to reach and when will the spot uranium price likely peak? It’s all in the new CD-ROM book. Order form


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